Conf = Big East State = CO
Nickname = Pioneers Coach = Liza KellyGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 96.4313049 home-field advantage = -0.90 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 209 H Louisville Atlantic Coas ( 8-11, 92.1) 16- 8 217 A Michigan Big Ten (16- 4, 97.5) 4- 8 223 H Ohio State Big Ten ( 8- 9, 90.6) 15- 5 225 H San Diego State Pac-12 ( 2-14, 83.6) 18- 8 302 H Maryland Big Ten (14- 6, 97.3) 8-10 308 A Northwestern Big Ten (17- 2, 99.9) 10-14 311 A Stony Brook Colonial (18- 3, 96.8) 8- 7 317 H Stanford Pac-12 (13- 5, 96.4) 10- 6 324 H Connecticut Big East (11- 7, 92.4) 18- 9 329 A Georgetown Big East ( 7-11, 91.1) 11-10 403 H Colorado Pac-12 (13- 6, 93.2) 14- 8 406 H Marquette Big East ( 6-11, 87.7) 20- 6 410 A Butler Big East ( 2-14, 82.5) 20- 5 414 H Arizona State Pac-12 ( 9-10, 91.2) 21-11 420 A Villanova Big East ( 7- 9, 88.3) 11- 8 422 N Yale Ivy League (17- 3, 98.3) 12-11 502 N Villanova Big East ( 7- 9, 88.3) 19- 7 504 N Connecticut Big East (11- 7, 92.4) 16-14 510 N Stanford Pac-12 (13- 5, 96.4) 13-12 512 A Northwestern Big Ten (17- 2, 99.9) 4-17
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 209 H Louisville 16- 8 8 5 1.74 217 A Michigan 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.07 223 H Ohio State 15- 5 10 6 0.26 225 H San Diego State 18- 8 10 13 0.00 302 H Maryland 8-10 -2 0 - -2.02 308 A Northwestern 10-14 -4 -4 0.37 311 A Stony Brook 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.28 317 H Stanford 10- 6 4 0 + 3.04 324 H Connecticut 18- 9 9 4 + 2.11 329 A Georgetown 11-10 1 4 - -3.42 403 H Colorado 14- 8 6 4 1.89 406 H Marquette 20- 6 14 9 0.00 410 A Butler 20- 5 15 13 0.00 414 H Arizona State 21-11 10 6 0.83 420 A Villanova 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.00 422 N Yale 12-11 1 -1 + 2.86 502 N Villanova 19- 7 12 8 0.00 504 N Connecticut 16-14 2 3 -1.99 510 N Stanford 13-12 1 0 0.94 512 A Northwestern 4-17 -13 -4 - -2.63UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 420 A Villanova 11- 8 3 7 -- -4.00 217 A Michigan 4- 8 -4 -1 - -2.07 302 H Maryland 8-10 -2 0 - -2.02 329 A Georgetown 11-10 1 4 - -3.42 512 A Northwestern 4-17 -13 -4 - -2.63OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 311 A Stony Brook 8- 7 1 -1 + 2.28 317 H Stanford 10- 6 4 0 + 3.04 324 H Connecticut 18- 9 9 4 + 2.11 422 N Yale 12-11 1 -1 + 2.86
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 96.42 Power Rank................. 13 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 83.36 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 15 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7301 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 9 RPI Rating............... .6482 RPI Rank................... 12 Champ. Probability ...... 1.5 Championship Rank ......... 16 Selection sum ........... 28 Selection Rank ............ 8 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 100. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 7 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 105. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 7 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 13.4 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 9.2 Wins/Losses(all )...... 16- 4 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 4.2 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... 10.0 Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 2- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 12.5 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 2- 1 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... -3.3